Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.005421 0.005984 0.006567 0.007214 0.007910 0.008636 0.009450
2025-01-05 0.004651 0.005473 0.006365 0.007402 0.008569 0.009838 0.011318
2025-01-12 0.003980 0.004917 0.005971 0.007238 0.008710 0.010359 0.012335
2025-01-19 0.003542 0.004560 0.005742 0.007202 0.008944 0.010942 0.013390
2025-01-26 0.003155 0.004219 0.005490 0.007100 0.009065 0.011365 0.014240
2025-02-02 0.002871 0.003975 0.005327 0.007079 0.009262 0.011864 0.015169
2025-02-09 0.002620 0.003750 0.005166 0.007039 0.009419 0.012302 0.016021
2025-02-16 0.002489 0.003665 0.005172 0.007202 0.009821 0.013040 0.017244
2025-02-23 0.002268 0.003445 0.004986 0.007103 0.009881 0.013344 0.017927
2025-03-02 0.002114 0.003304 0.004894 0.007115 0.010075 0.013813 0.018818
2025-03-09 0.002056 0.003292 0.004971 0.007351 0.010561 0.014660 0.020199
2025-03-16 0.001953 0.003207 0.004942 0.007439 0.010850 0.015254 0.021262
2025-03-23 0.001883 0.003170 0.004981 0.007624 0.011281 0.016050 0.022616
2025-03-30 0.001821 0.003140 0.005028 0.007822 0.011731 0.016882 0.024032
2025-04-06 0.001655 0.002941 0.004821 0.007650 0.011668 0.017024 0.024539
2025-04-13 0.001541 0.002815 0.004713 0.007613 0.011784 0.017405 0.025362
2025-04-20 0.001418 0.002666 0.004562 0.007505 0.011795 0.017638 0.025988
2025-04-27 0.001327 0.002563 0.004474 0.007484 0.011924 0.018031 0.026831
2025-05-04 0.001238 0.002457 0.004376 0.007443 0.012019 0.018376 0.027610
2025-05-11 0.001205 0.002442 0.004418 0.007612 0.012424 0.019155 0.028996
2025-05-18 0.001113 0.002320 0.004285 0.007509 0.012422 0.019363 0.029592
2025-05-25 0.001052 0.002249 0.004230 0.007522 0.012590 0.019810 0.030525
2025-06-01 0.001043 0.002269 0.004323 0.007768 0.013112 0.020768 0.032186